Covid-19 Pandemic Tracking in South Africa


We use a stochastic transmission dynamic model developed by Kucharski et al. (2020), to model the dynamics of covid-19 in Wuhan, China. The model accounts for a possible change in the transmission rate before and after some movement restrictions have been instituted (i.e lockdown, curfew, flight travel restrictions, etc). Parameters for the incubation and infectious periods were taken from the above study, while all other parameters were estimated to match COVID-19’s dynamics in Ghana.

We used national data publicly published by the Ministry of Health and/or the national institution that oversees the information released to the public regarding any health issue/guideline related to COVID-19.